Friday, 27 October 2017

That Preview Thing: Luton Town

It's fair to say we've been on a bit of a bad run as of late, having not actually scored a league goal in the month of October. What we need is a big win to get us back on track, so what you don't want to face is top of the league, away. That's the unfortunate position we find ourselves in but you've got to play them all at some point so there's no point crying about it. It's the most goals scored in the EFL versus the least goals conceded in the EFL. It reminds me of a sketch from 'That Mitchell and Webb Look' where "The irresistible force of Portsmouth, meet the immovable object of Southampton, in a clash that will go down as in history as one of the many football matches that are happening this weekend."



Last Time Out

Coventry City 0-0 Colchester United
21st October 2017
Sky Bet League Two

Jodi Jones got injured fairly early on which killed off all of our creativity and set the scene for a dull 0-0 draw with barely anything going on, thankfully however, he's back for Luton. We just don't seem able to put the ball in the back of the net, and whilst "expected goals" are good, they are nowhere near as good as actual goals. Positives, it was better than Forest Green, we got our ninth clean sheet of the season and it was another stellar defensive performance. To be honest, I'm getting sick of saying that, when are we going to put the ball in the netty thing?

Last Meeting

Coventry City 1-0 Luton Town
McKenzie (76')
30th January 2007
Coca-Cola Championship

The last competitive fixture between the two sides was 10 years ago, back in the Championship. The likes of David McNamee, Kevin Kyle and Kevin Thornton made appearances that game, no wonder we struggled to stay up. It was Leon McKenzie who bagged the winner with 15 minutes to play. However you could count the pre-season friendly 1-1 draw at Kenilworth Road a couple of seasons ago where James Maddison *sigh* scored our only goal.

Potential Starting XI:

Burge

Grimmer
Willis
McDonald
Stokes

Jones
Doyle
Kelly
Haynes

Nazon
Ponticelli

Ok so I've joined the dark side, maybe it is time to give Ponticelli a start. He probably isn't ready still and might not do as well as some people are thinking but it's worth a try isn't it? We're not looking like scoring from anywhere else at the present moment. If he does well then great, if not, then don't eat him alive. He's just turned 19. If he isn't the one to lead us up front then I'd put Marc McNulty in his place, he's not been given a real chance in his natural position yet, he's not a winger, or a number 10, he's a striker. Maybe playing him there alongside The Duck will be the key to the door.

Also, I've thrown Ryan Haynes in at left midfield/wing and feel like Mark Robins should do the same, whether Haynes himself likes it or not. Last Saturday when Jodi went off injured and Shipley came on there was a straight swap between the two, a poor choice. Shipley could have gone at full back with Haynes going at a more advanced position where every man and his dog knows he belongs. The only thing I can think of is that he doesn't want that responsibility.

The Opposition

Where to begin, on the first day they came out and ripped Yeovil Town apart 8-2, and not long ago did they beat play off chasing Stevenage 7-1. They've got a goal difference of +22, the highest in the league by a whole twelve goals. Basically, they're quite good, that can't be stressed enough. They were my pick to win the league at the start of the season as well as the bookies'. The Hatters had a fairly slow start but have really come into their element ever since, the fearsome attack includes Luke Berry and James Collins, a City fan, "the one who got away."

Betting Preview

Luton - Evens
Draw - 23/10
Coventry - 14/5

Obviously the hosts are favourites, and logically they are a solid team to throw in your accumulator at evens but you never know do you? It's a suggestion I say almost every week but BTTS - NO is also a good shout. James Collins is 33/1 to score a hat trick whilst Luke Berry is 150/1. According to Ladbrokes, Peter Vincenti, Stuart Beavon and Maxime Biamou (150/1) are all more likely to score a hat-trick that Jodi Jones (200/1) who has already managed this feat this season. Equally Haynes is 400/1. I should really stop looking at this market.

Prediction

Will we finally hit our mojo and get back to scoring and winning ways? It's unlikely, I'd like to think we'll come out and bag a couple, galloping back to the Midlands with 3 points but I very much doubt it. Equally I'd take a 0-0 draw with a point and run as much as I want to celebrate us scoring for the first time in a month. My heart says that we'll battle valiantly and snatch a win but my head very much otherwise. The last time I predicted a loss we beat top of the league 2-0 so who knows...

Luton Town 3-0 Coventry City


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